Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
4-4
21
VS
New Orleans Saints
4-5
14
Market line: LAR -2.5, total 46.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 24.5 – New Orleans Saints 22.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
35
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Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 35.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
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