Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
6-3
17
VS
Atlanta Falcons
4-4
13
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
30
Margin of Victory — Atlanta Falcons (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
55%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 30.
O/U LINE 30
88% over12% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
68% over32% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
56% over44% under ✓
O/U LINE 46 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
44% over56% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
33% over67% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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