Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
5-6
25
VS
New England Patriots
3-8
24
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 1
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — New England Patriots (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
59% over ✓41% under
O/U LINE 43 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
47% over ✓53% under
O/U LINE 48
35% over ✓65% under
O/U LINE 52
25% over75% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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