Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability
FINAL
Chicago Bears
4-6
20
VS
Detroit Lions
7-1
23
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 80%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
20%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+
23%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 44
61% over39% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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