Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
2-8
32
VS
Houston Texans
6-3
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 73%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tennessee Titans won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
59
Margin of Victory — Houston Texans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
27%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+
16%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 59.
O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
58% over ✓42% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over ✓76% under
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