New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins — Win Probability
FINAL
New England Patriots
3-7
15
VS
Miami Dolphins
3-5
34
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Dolphins 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
Miami Dolphins won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — Miami Dolphins (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
31%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
15%
Won by 21+
14%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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