Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears — Win Probability
FINAL
Minnesota Vikings
7-1
30
VS
Chicago Bears
4-5
27
Market line: MIN -5.0, total 40.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 22.7 – Chicago Bears 17.7
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 64%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
57
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
64%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 48
29% over ✓71% under
O/U LINE 52
19% over ✓81% under
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.