Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders — Win Probability
FINAL
Denver Broncos
5-6
29
VS
Las Vegas Raiders
2-8
19
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Broncos 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Denver Broncos won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
48
Margin of Victory — Las Vegas Raiders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
59%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 48.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
20% over80% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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