Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
Dallas Cowboys
1-5
34
VS
Washington Commanders
6-4
26
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 75%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
60
Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
25%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
17%
Won by 21+
18%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.
O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over ✓35% under
O/U LINE 44
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
41% over ✓59% under
O/U LINE 52
30% over ✓70% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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