Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability
FINAL
Arizona Cardinals
5-4
6
VS
Seattle Seahawks
5-3
16
Market line: SEA -1.0, total 48.5 · Model expected score: Arizona Cardinals 23.7 – Seattle Seahawks 24.8
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
22
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 22.
O/U LINE 30
92% over8% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
74% over26% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
40% over60% under ✓
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