Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers — Win Probability
FINAL
Seattle Seahawks
4-3
20
VS
San Francisco 49ers
2-4
17
Market line: SF -7.0, total 49 · Model expected score: Seattle Seahawks 21.0 – San Francisco 49ers 28.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 70%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
37
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Margin of Victory — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
30%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
75% over25% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
65% over35% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
53% over47% under ✓
O/U LINE 49 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
41% over59% under ✓
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