Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
4-5
28
VS
New York Jets
1-4
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jets 62%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 1
COMBINED SCORE
55
Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
38%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
10%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 55.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 52
26% over ✓74% under
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