Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Baltimore Ravens
5-3
16
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
5-2
18
Market line: BAL -3.5, total 45 · Model expected score: Baltimore Ravens 24.3 – Pittsburgh Steelers 20.8
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
34
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
60%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 34.
O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over35% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
53% over47% under ✓
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
41% over59% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
30% over70% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.