Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
2-6
17
VS
Los Angeles Chargers
5-3
27
Market line: LAC -7.0, total 38 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 15.5 – Los Angeles Chargers 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 70%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
44
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Chargers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
30%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 38 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
44% over ✓56% under
O/U LINE 44
33% over67% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
23% over77% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
15% over85% under ✓
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