San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
1-4
23
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-2
20
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 67%
ACTUAL RESULT
San Francisco 49ers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
67%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
10%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over38% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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