Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
4-2
28
VS
Washington Commanders
6-3
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 1
COMBINED SCORE
55
Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 55.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over ✓71% under
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