PHI34
FINAL
6DAL
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability

FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
9-1
34
VS
Dallas Cowboys logo
Dallas Cowboys
1-4
6
Market line: PHI -3.0, total 48 · Model expected score: Philadelphia Eagles 25.6 – Dallas Cowboys 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 28
COMBINED SCORE
40
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Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
59%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 40.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over27% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
62% over38% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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