New York Jets vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Jets
1-3
6
VS
Arizona Cardinals
4-4
31
Market line: ARI -1.0, total 45 · Model expected score: New York Jets 22.1 – Arizona Cardinals 23.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cardinals 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Arizona Cardinals won by 25
COMBINED SCORE
37
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Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.
O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over35% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
53% over47% under ✓
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
41% over59% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
30% over70% under ✓
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