Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
4-2
17
VS
New Orleans Saints
2-5
20
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Falcons 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
New Orleans Saints won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
37
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
53%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
58% over42% under ✓
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
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