Washington Commanders vs New York Giants — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
5-3
27
VS
New York Giants
2-3
22
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
59%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
85% over ✓15% under
O/U LINE 40
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 44
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
38% over ✓62% under
O/U LINE 52
28% over72% under ✓
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free