Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills — Win Probability
FINAL
Miami Dolphins
2-4
27
VS
Buffalo Bills
6-2
30
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
57
Margin of Victory — Buffalo Bills (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 48
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
38% over ✓62% under
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free