Las Vegas Raiders vs Cincinnati Bengals — Win Probability
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders
2-6
24
VS
Cincinnati Bengals
2-4
41
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bengals 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Cincinnati Bengals won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
65
Margin of Victory — Cincinnati Bengals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
26%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
17%
Won by 21+
17%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 65.
O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over ✓35% under
O/U LINE 44
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
41% over ✓59% under
O/U LINE 52
30% over ✓70% under
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free