LAC27
FINAL
10CLE
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability

FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers logo
Los Angeles Chargers
4-3
27
VS
Cleveland Browns logo
Cleveland Browns
2-6
10
Market line: LAC -3.5, total 38.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Chargers 21.0 – Cleveland Browns 17.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 61%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
37
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
61%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.

O/U LINE 30
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
24% over76% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
16% over84% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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