JAX23
FINAL
28PHI
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability

FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars logo
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-6
23
VS
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
8-1
28
Market line: PHI -6.0, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Jacksonville Jaguars 20.8 – Philadelphia Eagles 26.8
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Prediction vs. Result

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PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 67%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
33%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
13%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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