Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
1-5
14
VS
Detroit Lions
3-1
52
Market line: DET -9.5, total 45 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 17.7 – Detroit Lions 27.3
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 76%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 38
COMBINED SCORE
66
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
24%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
17%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
19%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.
O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over ✓35% under
O/U LINE 44
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
41% over ✓59% under
O/U LINE 52
30% over ✓70% under
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.