TEN14
FINAL
52DET
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Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability

FINAL
Tennessee Titans logo
Tennessee Titans
1-5
14
VS
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit Lions
3-1
52
Market line: DET -9.5, total 45 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 17.7 – Detroit Lions 27.3
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 76%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 38
COMBINED SCORE
66
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Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
24%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
17%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
19%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.

O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over ✓35% under
O/U LINE 44
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
41% over ✓59% under
O/U LINE 52
30% over ✓70% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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