Philadelphia Eagles vs Cincinnati Bengals — Win Probability
FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles
7-1
37
VS
Cincinnati Bengals
2-3
17
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bengals 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 20
COMBINED SCORE
54
Margin of Victory — Cincinnati Bengals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 54.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
42% over ✓58% under
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