New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Chargers — Win Probability
FINAL
New Orleans Saints
2-3
8
VS
Los Angeles Chargers
3-3
26
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 68%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 18
COMBINED SCORE
34
Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Chargers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
32%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
15%
Won by 21+
13%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 34.
O/U LINE 30
75% over ✓25% under
O/U LINE 39 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
47% over53% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
35% over65% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
25% over75% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
17% over83% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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