Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
Chicago Bears
4-1
15
VS
Washington Commanders
4-3
18
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
33
Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
46%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over29% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
60% over40% under ✓
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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