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Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability

FINAL
Buffalo Bills logo
Buffalo Bills
5-2
31
VS
Seattle Seahawks logo
Seattle Seahawks
4-1
10
Market line: BUF -3.0, total 48 · Model expected score: Buffalo Bills 25.5 – Seattle Seahawks 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
41
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
59%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over38% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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