Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
Baltimore Ravens
4-2
24
VS
Cleveland Browns
1-6
29
Market line: BAL -9.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Baltimore Ravens 26.0 – Cleveland Browns 16.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 76%
ACTUAL RESULT
Cleveland Browns won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
53
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
76%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
7%
Won by 8-14
7%
Won by 15-21
3%
Won by 21+
1%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 53.
O/U LINE 30
83% over ✓17% under
O/U LINE 40
58% over ✓42% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over ✓76% under
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