Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
2-2
31
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-1
26
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Atlanta Falcons won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
57
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
75% over ✓25% under
O/U LINE 44
65% over ✓35% under
O/U LINE 48
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 49 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
41% over ✓59% under
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free