PHI28
FINAL
3NYG
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Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants — Win Probability

FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
6-1
28
VS
New York Giants logo
New York Giants
2-2
3
Market line: PHI -4.0, total 46 · Model expected score: Philadelphia Eagles 25.0 – New York Giants 20.9
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 62%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 25
COMBINED SCORE
31
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Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
62%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 31.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
67% over33% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
56% over44% under ✓
O/U LINE 46 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
44% over56% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
33% over68% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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