New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
New England Patriots
1-4
16
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-5
32
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 16
COMBINED SCORE
48
Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
14%
Won by 21+
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 48.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
59% over ✓41% under
O/U LINE 43 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
47% over ✓53% under
O/U LINE 48
36% over64% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
25% over75% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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