Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts — Win Probability
FINAL
Miami Dolphins
2-2
10
VS
Indianapolis Colts
3-3
16
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 62%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
26
Margin of Victory — Indianapolis Colts (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
38%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
10%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 26.
O/U LINE 30
83% over17% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
58% over42% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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