DET31
FINAL
29MIN
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Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit Lions
2-1
31
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
5-0
29
Market line: MIN -1.5, total 48 · Model expected score: Detroit Lions 23.3 – Minnesota Vikings 24.8
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
60
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 48
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
38% over ✓62% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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