Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability
FINAL
Detroit Lions
2-1
31
VS
Minnesota Vikings
5-0
29
Market line: MIN -1.5, total 48 · Model expected score: Detroit Lions 23.3 – Minnesota Vikings 24.8
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
60
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 48
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
38% over ✓62% under
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