Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
Cincinnati Bengals
1-3
21
VS
Cleveland Browns
1-5
14
Market line: CIN -4.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Cincinnati Bengals 24.5 – Cleveland Browns 20.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bengals 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Cincinnati Bengals won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
35
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 35.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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