Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
Carolina Panthers
1-5
7
VS
Washington Commanders
3-3
40
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 33
COMBINED SCORE
47
Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 44
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 48
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
40% over60% under ✓
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