Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
3-2
23
VS
Baltimore Ravens
3-2
30
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 70%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
53
Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
30%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 53.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
43% over ✓57% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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