Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-2
32
VS
Las Vegas Raiders
2-3
13
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
45
Margin of Victory — Las Vegas Raiders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 45.
O/U LINE 30
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 37.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
42% over ✓58% under
O/U LINE 44
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 48
21% over79% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
14% over86% under ✓
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