Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears — Win Probability
FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-4
16
VS
Chicago Bears
3-1
35
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bears 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
51
Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
10%
Won by 21+
6%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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