Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
2-3
20
VS
Tennessee Titans
1-3
17
Market line: IND -1.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: Indianapolis Colts 21.5 – Tennessee Titans 20.1
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
37
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over45% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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