Market line: DET -3.0, total 51.5 · Model expected score: Detroit Lions 27.3 – Dallas Cowboys 24.3
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 38
COMBINED SCORE
56
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Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
59%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 56.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 48
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
48% over ✓52% under
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