NYJ17
FINAL
23MIN
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New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
New York Jets logo
New York Jets
1-1
17
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
4-0
23
Market line: MIN -2.5, total 40.5 · Model expected score: New York Jets 19.0 – Minnesota Vikings 21.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
40
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 40.

O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
20% over80% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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