Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots — Win Probability
FINAL
Miami Dolphins
1-2
15
VS
New England Patriots
1-2
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Patriots 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Miami Dolphins won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
25
Margin of Victory — New England Patriots (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 25.
O/U LINE 30
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 36.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
19% over81% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
12% over88% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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