Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos — Win Probability
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders
2-2
18
VS
Denver Broncos
2-3
34
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Broncos 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Denver Broncos won by 16
COMBINED SCORE
52
Margin of Victory — Denver Broncos (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 52.
O/U LINE 30
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 36.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 44
29% over ✓71% under
O/U LINE 48
19% over ✓81% under
O/U LINE 52
12% over88% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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