Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
2-2
34
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-4
37
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
71
Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
41%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 71.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 44
58% over ✓42% under
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 52
34% over ✓66% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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