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Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability

FINAL
Green Bay Packers logo
Green Bay Packers
2-2
24
VS
Los Angeles Rams logo
Los Angeles Rams
1-3
19
Market line: GB -3.5, total 48 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 25.8 – Los Angeles Rams 22.2
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Green Bay Packers won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
43
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
60%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over38% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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