Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
Cleveland Browns
1-3
13
VS
Washington Commanders
2-2
34
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
47
Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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