Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans — Win Probability
FINAL
Buffalo Bills
4-1
20
VS
Houston Texans
3-2
23
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Houston Texans won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
Margin of Victory — Houston Texans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
47%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
70% over ✓30% under
O/U LINE 44
59% over41% under ✓
O/U LINE 47 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
47% over53% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
36% over64% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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