BAL41
FINAL
38CIN
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Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals — Win Probability

FINAL
Baltimore Ravens logo
Baltimore Ravens
2-2
41
VS
Cincinnati Bengals logo
Cincinnati Bengals
1-2
38
Market line: BAL -1.0, total 47 · Model expected score: Baltimore Ravens 24.0 – Cincinnati Bengals 23.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
79
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Margin of Victory — Cincinnati Bengals (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
53%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 79.

O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
70% over ✓30% under
O/U LINE 44
59% over ✓41% under
O/U LINE 47 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
47% over ✓53% under
O/U LINE 52
35% over ✓65% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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